Calamity
mediumSevere weatherCalamity Score: 39

Severe weather near Mandan

MortonUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 19 July 2026 at 23:36 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 3rd strongest of the 12 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 10 June 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 19 at 6:26PM CDT until July 19 at 6:30PM CDT by NWS Bismarck ND

An estimated 96,474 people live within 50 km of this point.

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 39 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeSevere weather
Severitymedium
Calamity Score (ours)39 / 100
Our confidence81%
Coordinates46.4637, -101.0877
Nearest CityMandan (43 km)
Population Exposed96.5K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-19T23:26:00.000Z

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
55
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescGrant, ND; Morton, ND; Morton, ND; Sioux, ND
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued July 19 at 6:26PM CDT until July 19 at 6:30PM CDT by NWS Bismarck ND
Expires2026-07-19T18:36:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Bismarck ND
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7a238d7d229af059a007a2ba8d5a680db51ea8f6.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.00c1ca57a76e7a2395f4e35cbe57ae72083b701b.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 39/100, near Mandan (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.